Article information

2003 , Volume 8, ¹ 2, p.16-26

Baranovsky N.V., Grishin A.M., Loskutnikova T.P.

Information-prediction system of determination of probability of forest fires appearance

Information-prediction system for determination of the probability of forest fire initiation is considered. The system is based on general methodology of constructing the deterministic-probability models for the forecast of catastrophes. The deterministic-probability approach finds the probability using the time of drying forest fuel layer and statistical data of forestries.

[full text] Classificator Msc2000:
*62P12 Applications to environmental and related topics
68U35 Information systems (hypertext navigation, interfaces, decision support, etc.)
92D40 Ecology
Classificator Computer Science:
*G.3 Probability and Statistics
H.4 Information Systems Applications
H.5 Information Interfaces and Presentation

Keywords: semi-Lagrangian model, meteorological conditions, climate model

Author(s):
Baranovsky N V
Address: Russia, Tomsk
E-mail: nick-b@ctc.tsu.ru

Grishin A.M.
Office: Tomsk State University
Address: 634050, Russia, Tomsk, Lenin Ave., 36
E-mail: fire@fire.tsu.tomsk.su

Loskutnikova T P
Address: Russia, Tomsk, Tomsk, Lenin Ave., 36
E-mail: lastniko@rambler.ru


Bibliography link:
Baranovsky N.V., Grishin A.M., Loskutnikova T.P. Information-prediction system of determination of probability of forest fires appearance // Computational technologies. 2003. V. 8. ¹ 2. P. 16-26
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