Article information

2006 , Volume 11, Special issue, p.77-86

Chebakova N.M., Parphenova E.I.

Modeling forest shifts in Southern Siberia in a changing climate by the end of the XX century

Instrumental measurements of the air temperature and annual precipitation during the 20 century across the Central Siberia show that climate warming is at least 1 degree C from 1950 to 2000. Precipitation variation appears to be more complicated: -4 - -8 % in the south to -10 % in the north. Climate change by the end of the 20 century may cause "hot spots" in the vegetation cover. "Hot spots" locations predicted by numerical modeling are confirmed by data available in literature.

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Author(s):
Chebakova N.M.
Dr.
Position: Senior Research Scientist
Address: Russia, Krasnoyarsk
Phone Office: (3912) 49 46 28
E-mail: ncheby@forest.akadem.ru

Parphenova E.I.
Position: Research Scientist
Address: Russia, Krasnoyarsk
Phone Office: (3912) 49 46 28
E-mail: lyeti@forest.akadem.ru


Bibliography link:
Chebakova N.M., Parphenova E.I. Modeling forest shifts in Southern Siberia in a changing climate by the end of the XX century // Computational technologies. 2006. V. 11. Special issue. P. 77-86
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