| Реферат: | eng: This chapter provides some aspects to probabilistic modelling in solving analytical problems of system engineering. The historically developed system of the formation of scientific bases of engineering calculations of characteristics of strength, stability, durability, reliability, survivability and safety is considered. The features of deterministic and probabilistic problems of evaluation of the characteristics of strength, stiffness, steadiness, durability and survivability are considered. Probabilistic problems of reliability, security, safety and risk assessment of engineering systems are formulated. Theoretical bases and methods of probabilistic modelling of engineering systems are stated. The main directions of solving the problems of ensuring security and safety according to the accident risk criteria are determined. The possibilities of probabilistic modelling methods in solving the problems of strength, reliability and safety of engineering systems are shown in practical examples.
|
| Цитирование: | 1. Makhutov NA. Strength and Safety. Fundamental and Applied Research. Novosibirsk: Nauka; 2008. 528 p
2. Makhutov NA, editor. Strength, Resource, Survivability and Safety of Machines. Moskow: Librocom; 2008. p. 576
3. Makhutov NA. Safety and Risks: System Research and Development. Novosibirsk: Nauka; 2017. 724 p
4. Kapur KC, Lamberson LR. Reliability in Engineering Design. New York: John Wiley & Sons; 1979. 586 p
5. Shuhir E. Applied Probability for Engineering and Scientists. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1997. 533 p
6. Bolotin VV. Methods of Probability Theory and Reliability Theory in Calculations of Structures. Moscow: Stroiizdat; 1982. 351 p
7. Timachev CA. Reliability of Large Mechanical Systems. Moscow: Nauka; 1982. 183 p
8. Gusev AC, Cvetlitcky VA. Calculation of Structures under Random Actions. Moscow: Machinostroenie; 1984. 240 p
9. Reactor safety study -an assessment of accident risk in US commercial nuclear power plant draft. WASH-1400. Washington: USAEC; 1974. 271 p
10. NASA/SP-2010-580 System safety handbook. Vol. 1. Washington: NASA; 2011. 103 p
11. Sih G. Mechanics of Fracture. Leyden Noordhoff International Publishing; 1973. 517 p
12. Prowan JW, editor. Probabilistic fracture mechanics and reliability. Mart. Nijn. Publ; 1987. 467 p
13. Shokin Yu I, Lepikhin AM, Moskvichev VV. Problems of mechanics of catastrophes and safety of technical systems/Risk management. In: Risk Sustainable development: Synergetic. Moscow: Nauka; 2000. 431 p
14. Lepikhin AM, Makhutov NA, Moscvichev VV, Chernyaev AP. Probabilistic Risk Analysis of Technical System Constructions. Novosibirsk: Nauka; 2003. 174 p
15. Contreras H. The stochastic finite-element method. Comp. Struct. 1980;12(N3):341-348
16. Abdelal G, Abuelfoutouh N, Gad A. Stochastic finite element and satellite structure design. In: Finite Element Analysis for Satellite Structures. London: Springer; 2013. pp. 203-249
17. Security of Russia. Legal, socio-economic and scientific-technical aspects. Risk analysis and safety issues: In 4 Parts. Part 4. Applied Questions Risks Analysis of Critical Objects. Moscow: Znanie; 2007. 816 p
18. Lepikhin A, Moskvichev V, Doronin S. Statistical fracture modelling of weld joint for nuclear reactor components. Theoretical and applied fracture mechanics. 1998;29:103-107
19. Lepikhin AM, Makhutov NA, Moskvichev VV, Doronin SV. Probabilistic modelling of safe crack growth and estimation of the durability of structures. Fatigue Fract. Engng. Mater. Struct. 2000;23:395-401
20. Lepikhin AM, Burov AE, Moskvichev VV. Possibilities of the design estimates of the reliability of high-pressure metal-composite tank. Journal of machinery and reliability. 2015;44(N4):344-349
|
